November 7, 2014

From U.S. News & World Report

by Martin Frost

While the Republican win on Tuesday was impressive, it was far from a mandate. Voters rejected President Barack Obama’s handling of his job and clearly were fed up with gridlock in Congress. Since there were far more Democratic senators up for re-election than Republicans, it was easy for voters to vent their spleen against Democrats. Democratic House losses were actually fairly modest compared with some past elections following a successful presidential election. Also, the non-presidential electorate traditionally is older and whiter – both features that currently favor Republicans.

But now the basic question is: “What does this mean for the future (2016)?”

Recent history should be on the Republicans’ side in 2016. Since the end of World War II, one party has controlled the White House for 12 straight years – or three terms – only once. That was Ronald Reagan and George H.W. Bush. Other than those 12 years from 1980 to 1992, the presidency has flipped to the opposite party every eight years.

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